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case_arch09_b / Data Snapshot. 24 April 2026. / Decided

Rajiv Surana, Q2 Quarterly Review Prep

Download slide deck Aggressive Stated and Revealed
Headline takeaway

Sophisticated, disciplined portfolio. The Reliance position at 26.4% of advisory corpus is the one tension worth Q2 discussion.

Case Frozen. Decided by Rohan Kapoor, fee-only advisor.
01 Portfolio composition ₹26.50 Cr advisory / 11 holdings
Debt 0.0%  not allocated. A deliberate zero, not an omission. Picked up in observation 02 above.
Asset class Value (₹ Cr) Weight
Equity 23.00 86.8%
Mutual Funds, active16.0060.4%
Direct Listed (India): Reliance, HDFC Bank9.0034.0%
International ETF (US), via GIFT route3.0011.3%
PMS, focused mid-cap, White Oak Pioneers3.0011.3%
Sub-rows intersect; equity rollup is the load-bearing figure.
Alternatives, Physical Gold2.007.5%
Cash, Savings1.505.7%
Total26.50100.0%
02 Per-holding verdicts Maintain 6 / Monitor 3 / Discuss 2 / Review 0

0% Review, no holdings flagged for exit.

Maintain Continue to hold. 6 holdings
Axis Bluechip
Style consistency intact; large-cap sleeve anchor.
3.80 Cr14.3%
Kotak Emerging Equity
Mid-cap exposure performing; manager continuity confirmed.
3.00 Cr11.3%
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF
International equity sleeve via GIFT route; allocation aligned.
3.00 Cr11.3%
White Oak Pioneers PMS
Quarterly letter discipline holding; deputy PM continuity since 2022 review.
3.00 Cr11.3%
SBI Small Cap
Small-cap sleeve standalone; manager track intact.
2.20 Cr8.3%
Physical Gold
Hedge sleeve; allocation aligned with Aggressive-with-hedge profile.
2.00 Cr7.5%
Monitor Reassess at next review. 3 holdings
Parag Parikh Flexi Cap
Four quarters of benchmark underperformance; investor-flagged in Q1. Rebalance decided; hold remainder.
4.00 Cr15.1%
Monitor
HDFC Bank
Held since 2024; underwater versus large-cap MF alternative. Hold and reassess.
2.00 Cr7.5%
Monitor
Bank Savings
Liquid reserve sized adequately; review at Q3 against opportunity set.
1.50 Cr5.7%
Monitor
Discuss Bring to the conversation. 2 holdings
Reliance Industries
Position at 26.4% of advisory corpus; breaches single-stock threshold. Trim-on-rebalance proposed.
7.00 Cr26.4%
Discuss
Mirae Asset Large Cap
Overlap with Axis and PPFCF large-cap sleeve. Consolidation candidate.
3.00 Cr11.3%
Discuss
Review Flag for action. 0 holdings
No holdings in this tier.
03 Portfolio observations 3 observations / 1 flag, 2 muted
Flag Single-stock concentration 01
26.4%
Reliance Industries holds 26.4% of the advisory corpus, breaching the 15% single-stock position threshold. The trim-on-rebalance framework proposed for Q2: a systematic ₹0.5 Cr trim each time weight exceeds 17%.
Evidence
Reliance weight
26.4%
Single-stock threshold
15.0%
Q2 trim trigger
17.0%
Muted Asset-class composition 02
0%
Zero allocation to debt. The portfolio is 87% equity, 7.5% gold, 5.7% cash. Aggressive by mandate, but the cash-and-gold sleeve is doing all the volatility-dampening work. Worth raising whether tax-free bonds or short-duration debt MFs earn a place at the next review.
Current allocation
Equity
86.8%
Gold
7.5%
Cash
5.7%
Debt
0.0%
Muted Sleeve overlap 03
3funds
Mirae, Axis, and PPFCF's large-cap tilt collectively hold the large-cap exposure. Consolidation candidate: one strong active large-cap fund plus PPFCF may serve the same role with less overlap.
Axis Bluechip3.80 Cr / 14.3%
Mirae Asset Large Cap3.00 Cr / 11.3%
PPFCF (large-cap tilt within flexi mandate)~2.40 Cr / ~9.1% effective
Combined large-cap sleeve~9.20 Cr / ~34.7%
04 Portfolio analysis composition deep-cut Categories / AMC concentration
Category allocation
Direct Equity (India)
9.00 Cr34.0%
Active Equity, Large Cap
6.80 Cr25.7%
Active Equity, Multi / Flexi Cap
4.00 Cr15.1%
Active Equity, Mid Cap
3.00 Cr11.3%
PMS, Focused Mid Cap
3.00 Cr11.3%
International Equity (Passive)
3.00 Cr11.3%
Active Equity, Small Cap
2.20 Cr8.3%
Physical Gold
2.00 Cr7.5%
Cash
1.50 Cr5.7%

Sum across categories exceeds 100% because Direct Equity (Reliance, HDFC Bank) intersects with the listed-equity exposure captured in the asset-mix rollup. Bar widths normalize against Direct Equity, the largest category.

AMC concentration MF AUM only
AMCFunds₹ Cr% of MF AUM
Parag Parikh / PPFAS14.0025.0%
Axis13.8023.8%
Mirae Asset13.0018.8%
Kotak13.0018.8%
SBI12.2013.8%

₹16.00 Cr of active MF AUM spread across five AMCs; no single relationship over a quarter of the sleeve.

11
holdings across seven product types: direct equity, large-cap MF, multi-cap MF, mid-cap MF, small-cap MF, PMS, international ETF, plus physical gold and cash reserve.

Composition reads diversified across product types; AMC concentration not material. The diagnostic signals all sit at the holding level, in observations 01 through 03 above.

05 Equity style snapshot Market cap / style box / sectors
Market cap breakdown
Style box % of equity
Value
Blend
Growth
Large
8
38
24
Mid
2
12
10
Small
0
4
2

Large / Blend the centre of gravity; meaningful growth tilt; small-cap exposure thin.

Cyclical / Sensitive / Defensive
Cyclical47.0%
Financial Services28.4%
Consumer Cyclical11.8%
Basic Materials6.2%
Real Estate0.6%
Sensitive40.1%
Energy18.9%
Technology9.1%
Industrials8.7%
Communication3.4%
Defensive12.9%
Healthcare5.6%
Consumer Defensive4.1%
Utilities2.2%
Not Classified1.0%

Style box concentrated in Large / Blend with a mid-cap growth tilt; sector mix dominated by financials and energy, the latter Reliance-led and tracking directly back to observation 01.

06 Correlation matrix 7 funds, 36-month rolling Headline pair Mirae × Axis = 0.94
What this shows

Pairwise correlation of monthly returns across the seven actively-managed funds in the portfolio, 36-month trailing window. 1.00 means two funds moved in perfect lockstep; 0 means they moved independently of each other.

How to read this
  • Dark cells (0.80 and above)Funds that moved nearly together. Likely holding similar names; diversification benefit is low.
  • Mid cells (0.50 to 0.80)Funds that moved in the same general direction but with distinct patterns. Acceptable overlap.
  • Light cells (below 0.50)Funds that moved largely independently. This is where genuine diversification lives.
Why it matters

Two funds with 0.90+ correlation add fee drag without adding diversification. The matrix is the empirical layer underneath the overlap diagnosis in section 09: it shows whether category labels (Large Cap, Mid Cap, Flexi) actually translate into behavioral difference, or whether the funds just call themselves different things while doing the same thing.

Flag Mirae × Axis 0.94
The headline overlap; two large-cap funds doing almost the same thing. Reads cleanly to the consolidation conversation in section 09.
OK Vanguard × rest 0.22 to 0.48
International ETF earns its keep. Genuine diversification, not a closet-Indian-equity vehicle.
Muted Kotak × SBI Small 0.86
Mid-and-small cluster moves together. Expected; not actionable.

Correlation structure validates the overlap diagnosis: large-cap funds cluster tightly, mid-and-small cluster moderately, international stands alone.

07 Risk-reward statistics Tier A 3Y Sharpe 0.81 vs 0.66 benchmark

Custom benchmark: 75% Nifty 500, 15% S&P 500 (INR-hedged proxy), 10% gold.

Sharpe ratio
0.81 +0.15
vs 0.66 benchmark
Risk-adjusted return above benchmark on both horizons; fee-only discipline shows.
Alpha
2.40
5Y: 2.10
Positive alpha sustained over five years; manager selection earning its keep.
Beta
1.04
5Y: 1.02
Marginally above 1; equity-heavy posture, not leveraged.
R-Squared
89.50
5Y: 88.20
Highly correlated to benchmark; alpha is true alpha, not style drift.
All statistics, both horizons
3 year 5 year
Statistic Portfolio Benchmark Portfolio Benchmark
Std Deviation16.4015.8515.8015.20
Mean Return18.2015.5016.4013.80
Sharpe Ratio0.810.660.740.58
Alpha2.40n/a2.10n/a
Beta1.04n/a1.02n/a
R-Squared89.50n/a88.20n/a
Best and worst time periods
PeriodBestWorst
3 Months+18.4%-16.2%
1 Year+42.6%-8.9%
3 Years+22.8%+2.4%

Sharpe above benchmark on both horizons reflects fee-only discipline; Beta marginally above 1 reflects the equity-heavy posture; the Std Dev premium over benchmark traces almost entirely to the single-stock concentration in observation 01.

08 Portfolio performance March 2019 to April 2026
Portfolio Gross (market value) Portfolio Net (invested cost)

Inflection points: COVID drawdown March 2020, mid-cap correction July 2022, secondary liquidity inflow November 2025 (visible as a step in the invested-cost line; market value does not step that day).

09 Overlap and consolidation Three sleeves / PPFCF splits across two
Large-cap sleeve ~₹9.20 Cr effective
Axis Bluechip
₹3.80 Cr / 41.3% of sleeve
Mirae Asset Large Cap
₹3.00 Cr / 32.6% of sleeve
tilt
Parag Parikh Flexi Cap
~₹2.40 Cr / 26.1% of sleeve
Mid-cap sleeve ~₹7.20 Cr effective
Kotak Emerging Equity
₹3.00 Cr / 41.7% of sleeve
White Oak Pioneers PMS
₹3.00 Cr / 41.7% of sleeve
tilt
Parag Parikh Flexi Cap
~₹1.20 Cr / 16.6% of sleeve
Small-cap sleeve ₹2.20 Cr
SBI Small Cap
₹2.20 Cr / 100% of sleeve
Single resident; no consolidation question here.

Three funds in the large-cap sleeve, two in the mid-cap, one in small-cap. PPFCF's flexi mandate splits across sleeves; this is acceptable if it earns its keep. The Mirae-Axis pair is the real consolidation question.

Pairwise overlap detail
Pair Est. overlap Severity Recommendation
Mirae Large Cap + Axis Bluechip 0.68 High Choose one; both occupy the same large-cap blend slot.
PPFCF + Mirae Large Cap (large-cap sleeve) 0.42 Notable PPFCF's flexi mandate creates partial overlap; acceptable if PPFCF earns its keep.
Reliance direct + PPFCF top holdings 0.18 Low Indirect exposure adds modestly to direct concentration.

Surana's portfolio is materially cleaner than peer benchmarks; the consolidation conversation is targeted, not sweeping.

10 Market context Data Snapshot. 29 April 2026.
Dimension 1
Economic cycle
PMI Manufacturing55.9 Apr flash / 53.9 Mar final
55.9
Rising
23 Apr 2026
PMI Services57.9 Apr flash / 57.5 Mar final
57.9
Stable-rising
23 Apr 2026
Non-Food Credit Growth, YoY
14.3%
Rising
Mar 2026
Capacity Utilization
75.6%
Rising
Q3 FY26
GDP Growth Real, YoY Q3
7.8%
Above trend
Q3 FY26
CPI Headline, YoY
3.40%
Rising
Mar 2026
CPI Core, YoYlow
2.1%
Stable
Feb 2026
IMD Monsoon Forecast92% of LPA, below normal
92%
Neg signal
Apr 2026
Dimension 2
RBI monetary policy
Repo Rateafter 125 bps of cuts
5.25%
Hold
Apr 2026
RBI Stance
Neutral
Unchanged
Apr 2026
10Y Govt Bond Yieldfrom 6.55% Nov
6.99%
Rising
Apr 2026
WALR on Fresh Loansfrom 9.37%
8.28%
Declining
Mar 2026
Dimension 3
Government fiscal
Fiscal Deficit, YTD FY2680.4% of RE
₹12.53 Lakh Cr
Consolidating
Apr-Feb FY26
Govt Capital Expenditure, YTD84.8% of RE, +14.5% YoY
₹9.29 Lakh Cr
Strong
FY26
FY27 Budget Fiscal Deficit, % of GDP
4.3%
Consolidation
FY27
Dimension 4
Global macro linkages
US Fed Funds Rate
3.50% to 3.75%
Hold
Apr 2026
India-US Rate Differentialadequate, not compelling
162 bps
Adequate
Apr 2026
USD / INR
94.79
Sharp weakening
29 Apr 2026
Brent Crude, USD per bblstress zone
$118.95
Sharply rising
29 Apr 2026
FII Net Flows, April equityheavy persistent outflows
₹-56,401 Cr
Heavy outflows
Apr 2026
DII Net Flows, Aprilpartial Apr 1, 8; partially absorbing
₹+34,617 Cr
Strong
Apr 2026

Snapshot as of 29 April 2026. Indicators sourced from public statistics, RBI publications, and broker research. Direction signals reflect change from prior reading or trend baseline.

11 Decision history and next review Last decision 8 Mar 2026 / Next review Q3 2026
8 Mar 2026
Q1 2026, PA case_arch09_a PPFCF rebalance executed. ₹80 L moved from flexi-cap sleeve into the mid-cap PMS slot. Decided by Rohan Kapoor; investor counter-signed.
24 Apr 2026
Q2 2026, PA case_arch09_b, this case Reliance trim-on-rebalance framework proposed for Q2 review; systematic ₹0.5 Cr trim when weight exceeds 17%. Three Maintain confirmations and two Discuss escalations recorded.
Next review
Q3 2026

Liquid reserve reassessed against opportunity set. PPFCF re-evaluated against trailing four quarters.

Open items carried forward
  • Cat II AIF shortlist for international exposure beyond the GIFT-route ETF sleeve.
  • Post-exit corpus reframe conversation, contingent on Series E or secondary liquidity event on the founder equity reference position.
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